The election of the new President for the country is to be held before July, because the term of President Ram Nath Kovind is ending on July 25. There is no doubt that the BJP-led NDA will win the Presidential and Vice Presidential elections. From the opposition point of view, this election will be like a litmus test for them. This will show whether the Congress can again become the axis of the opposition parties.
In the country, the President is elected through indirect voting, in which the next President is decided by the electoral college. In the presidential election, the electoral college consists of MPs from both houses of Parliament and legislators from the state legislatures. The value of one MP’s vote is more than that of an MLA. The value of each MP’s vote is 708. Whereas the value of votes of MLAs is decided by the population of that state.
The number of votes held by different parties
The NDA has 48 percent of the total votes in the presidential election. Of these, 42.2% belong to the BJP only. On the other hand, AIADMK has 5 per cent, BJD 2.9, TRS 2 per cent, JDU less than 2 per cent and YSRCP 3 per cent, TMC 5.3 per cent.
Congress, on the other hand, has 13.38 per cent votes. Talking about the UPA, these numbers reach up to 24 percent. But DMK, Shiv Sena, NCP, NC, JMM, Muslim League, RSP and some other parties will have to participate in this. The Left has 2.5 percent of the vote. Taking all these together, the vote count reaches 26.3 percent. This figure may change slightly in the next month’s Rajya Sabha elections.
Comparing the vote value of MPs and MLAs, the BJP-led NDA has only 48.9 per cent of the total electoral college. If all the opposition parties come together, the graph of their electoral college reaches 51.1 percent. That is, the NDA is getting lighter by 2.2 percentage points. But the opposition also includes parties like TMC, Aam Aadmi Party and Samajwadi Party, which have 19.7 per cent votes.
From the recent maths, it does not seem that these political parties are going to go to Congress. KCR is also going on the lines of his Dhapli Apna Raag. But only the presidential election will know which parties of the opposition are going to go to which side. That is, these elections are going to be important in terms of the equations of 2024. In the political situation that is visible at the moment, Trinamool, AAP, KCR and SP do not seem to be coming with the Congress. By the way, Rahul Gandhi himself has expressed concern about small parties in Udaipur’s Chintan Shivir. He believed that these parties do not hesitate to switch sides after seeing their advantage.