Almost all the exit polls, which came on Monday evening regarding the Uttar Pradesh assembly elections, predict that once again the government of Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is going to be formed under the leadership of Yogi Adityanath. At the same time, the Samajwadi Party (SP) may stay away from the majority despite its better performance than in 2017. Today’s Chanakya survey, which has predicted correctly in exit polls many times, has claimed BJP to get 275 to 313 seats, while SP has been predicted to get 86-124 votes. BSP may have to be content with 0-4 seats and Congress 0-2 seats.
It is said that caste is the biggest reality in UP politics and the government is formed by the one who does the best social engineering. Today’s Chanakya has also done a caste survey and its results show that the SP still managed to handle the MI equation and other castes could not trust Akhilesh’s ‘new SP’ promise. At the same time, after resigning from the Yogi government, more than a dozen OBC leaders, including Swami Prasad Maurya, who was associated with Akhilesh, could not get SP the vote of Other Backward Classes.
Which caste votes for BJP
Today’s Chanakya Opinion Poll says that in UP, 65 percent of Brahmins stayed with the BJP and 71 percent of Rajputs also supported Yogi. Jatavs, once considered to be Mayawati’s core voters, also turned to the BJP in large numbers. BJP is likely to get 34 per cent Jatav votes. BJP has got 45 percent SC and 64 percent OBC votes. At the same time, BJP has also made a dent in the Muslim and Yadav voters, who are called the core voters of SP. 8 percent Muslims and 19 percent Yadavs have voted for the saffron party.
M-Y with SP, no more burglary in other castes
Today’s Chanakya exit poll says that the SP alliance can get 16 percent Brahmin votes. The SP had tried a lot to bring Brahmins into its fold, saying they are angry with the BJP, but the expected success is not visible. 11 percent Rajputs have voted for SP and 10 percent Jatav voters are seen riding cycles. 76 percent of Muslims supported Akhilesh and 73 percent of Yadavs were also in favor of SP. At the same time, contrary to the claims of Swami Prasad Maurya, the SP has got only 23 percent OBC votes.
Which castes with BSP
Today’s Chanakya exit poll says BSP may get 9 per cent Brahmin votes while 4 per cent Rajputs have voted for Mayawati. At the same time 47 percent Jatavs still remain the companions of the hands. At the same time, 28 percent SC voters can also stay with BSP. However, only 7 per cent Muslim votes are seen going to BSP’s account. 4 percent Yadav and 6 percent OBC voters have shown in favor of Mayawati.