Delhi election exit poll: Voting for the assembly elections in Delhi concluded on 5 February. According to the Election Commission, till 6 pm, 60.42 percent polling was held, which is 62.80 percent in 2020 and less than 67.12 percent in 2015. Now the biggest question is that this time the voters of Delhi gave their support to which party?
Trend of increase in voting and change of power
If we look at history, there is no clear trend of change of power in Delhi when voting percentage increases. Polling percentage increased in 2003, 2008, 2013 and 2015, but only in 2013 changed the government. 4.43 percent of the votes increased in 2003 and 4.1 percent in 2008, causing Congress seats, but did not change power. In 2013, 8 percent more polling was held and the Congress was reduced to only 8 seats. At the same time, in 2015, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) got a strong majority in 67 seats due to a 1.45 percent increase in 2015. This time there has been a decrease in the voting percentage, due to which the AAP seats are expected to decline. Arvind Kejriwal himself claimed to win 55 seats, while the party won 62 seats in 2020.
Comparison with Jharkhand and Maharashtra
Before the Delhi elections, the voting percentage increased in Jharkhand and Maharashtra and the ruling parties returned. Hemant Soren alliance seats increased from 47 to 56 due to 3 percent more polling in Jharkhand. Mahayuti alliance won 236 seats with 4 percent more polling in Maharashtra. Women voters played an important role in these elections, which will keep an eye on the trend of women voters in Delhi too.
Heavy turnout in Muslim -dominated areas
Celampur and Mustafabad in Delhi were the highest voting. In 2020, AAP won both these seats, but this time they are getting a tough challenge. In Mustafabad, Tahir Hussain of AIMIM, Mohan Singh Visht of BJP and Adil of AAP are in the fray. At the same time, there is a contest between Chaudhary Juber of AAP, Anil Gaur of BJP and Abdul Rahman of Congress. Given all these factors, it is difficult to decide who will have power in Delhi, but the voting pattern shows that the competition will be very interesting.
