Elections are over in five states including Uttar Pradesh. Now all eyes are on the result. From the morning of March 10, first the trends and then the results will start coming.
Between February 10 and March 7, assembly elections were held in Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Manipur and Goa. The results of all these states are to come on March 10. Earlier today the exit polls of different agencies will be released. Through these polls, an attempt will be made to tell which party is going to form the government in which state or is winning how many seats.
We are going to tell you the results and exit polls of the last few elections. By this you will be able to understand how accurate this poll is? Is there any truth in these claims or not?
What was said in the exit polls for the polled states in 2017 and what were the results?
In UP too, elections were held in seven phases last time i.e. in 2017. There are 403 seats in UP and the majority figure is 202. Today Chanakya and Axis had told in their poll that BJP will come to the government with absolute majority. The VMR poll put the BJP close to a majority, while C Voters, India TV Forecast, ABP News-CSDS reported far from the majority. The results were the opposite. The BJP got a lot more seats than all these exit polls.
When the results came, not a single exit poll proved correct. The BJP alliance got the maximum 279 seats in the Axis survey. But, in the results, the BJP alliance won 325 seats. BJP alone won 312 seats. SP got 47, BSP 19 and Congress got only seven seats.
In the 2017 Uttarakhand assembly elections, Today’s Chanakya had given 53 seats to the BJP, while the Axis survey predicted 46 to 53 seats for the BJP. In the result, BJP got more seats than any other survey. The BJP got 57 seats in the results, while the Congress could win only 11 seats. Independents managed to win two seats.
On February 4, 2017, elections were held for 117 seats in Punjab. Here the majority figure is 59. In exit polls, News24 and Today Chanakya put the Congress close to the majority mark, while India TV and C Voters poll showed the Aam Aadmi Party to form the government. The result was exactly the opposite. Congress formed the government here with an absolute majority. Congress candidates won 77 out of 117 seats. AAP was shown more seats in almost all the surveys. As a result, he got only half of the seats.
result: Congress got the maximum 77, AAP 20, Lok Insaaf Party got two seats. Shiromani Akali Dal and BJP fought the elections together in NDA. Akali Dal got 15 seats and BJP got three seats. Exit poll predictions for the 2017 Manipur Assembly elections turned out to be wrong. In the exit polls, India TV C-Voters had put the BJP close to majority. On the contrary, the Congress seats were significantly reduced. The results turned out to be the opposite. However, later the BJP was able to form the government by breaking many Congress MLAs. The state has 60 seats and the majority mark is 31. In the results, Congress had won 28 seats. While 21 candidates of BJP won. Almost all exit poll predictions turned out to be wrong in the 2017 Goa Assembly Elections. Almost everyone had told the BJP very close to the majority, but the results turned out to be different. C-voters had estimated that the Congress could get 12 to 18 seats. This guess turned out to be correct and 17 Congress candidates won. However, C voters had predicted 15 to 21 seats for the BJP, while the BJP got only 13 seats when the results came out. MGM candidates won three seats. However, later many Congress MLAs supported the BJP and the BJP was successful in forming the government. If we talk about the two most talked about elections in the last few months, then the name of West Bengal and Bihar elections will come in it. Most of the exit polls were proved wrong in these two states as well.
The discussion of the West Bengal Assembly elections held in 2021 was in the whole country. Then most of the exit polls had predicted that the government would be formed by Mamata Banerjee, but the BJP would be able to win at least 100 seats. There are a total of 294 seats and it was necessary to touch the figure of 148 to form the government. When the results came, Mamta Banerjee formed the government with an absolute majority, but the BJP could not get as many seats as was expected. The BJP was reduced to only 77 seats. At the same time, Mamta’s party got 213 seats. All the claims of the exit polls for the 2020 Bihar assembly elections have failed. In almost all the polls, the government of the Grand Alliance was being shown to be formed, but when the results came, the NDA was successful in forming the government. NDA alliance got 125 seats, Mahagathbandhan 110 seats in the results. AIMIM won five seats and BSP, LJP and independent candidates won one seat each.
Expansion
Between February 10 and March 7, assembly elections were held in Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Punjab, Manipur and Goa. The results of all these states are to come on March 10. Earlier today the exit polls of different agencies will be released. Through these polls, an attempt will be made to tell which party is going to form the government in which state or is winning how many seats.
We are going to tell you the results and exit polls of the last few elections. By this you will be able to understand how accurate this poll is? Is there any truth in these claims or not?
What was said in the exit polls for the polled states in 2017 and what were the results?