The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which emerged from the nationwide Anna Andolan against corruption, will complete 10 years in November 2022. After confiscating the bails of the bigwigs in the Punjab Vidhan Sabha elections 2022, AAP is now moving fast towards becoming a national again after sweeping the power of the state. Even after the establishment of the party, Arvind Kejriwal had contested elections in many states including Delhi, but he did not get the same success in other states except Delhi.
Now AAP is in power in Delhi and Punjab and the party is focusing on expansion in states like Gujarat, Rajasthan, West Bengal, Assam, Himachal Pradesh. Party leaders are excited about Punjab’s victory and their statements show that AAP is now full of confidence and is confident that it will soon rise on the national scene, but it is not as easy as AAP leaders feel. Used to be. Election strategist Prashant Kishor said in an interview to Dainik Bhaskar that AAP may take at least 15 to 20 years to challenge the BJP. Prashant Kishor, while explaining the mathematics of 20 years long period, explains that it has its own arithmetic. In the 2019 general election, AAP got 27 lakh votes, while any party needs 20 crore or more votes to occupy the power at the Centre. This may not be achieved in a few years.
Prashant Kishor says that it is one thing to emerge as a power by winning elections in one or two states, but winning the Lok Sabha elections is another. Congress and BJP are the only two parties in the political history of the country which have become national. Now it does not mean that no other party can do it, but to do this, it will take 15-20 years of continuous effort. It took BJP 50 years to do this. BJP started the journey from 1978, after that it has reached here today.
Maths explained for BJP’s victory and opposition’s defeat
Prashant Kishor said that if anyone is thinking that inflation or unemployment is not an issue in this country, then he is wrong. The entire country is not with the party that got 38 percent votes, because 62 percent people consider inflation and unemployment as issues, but the vote of that 62 percent is being divided.
Prashant Kishor also spoke on the popularity of Hindutva, PM Modi
When Prashant Kishor was asked whether the popularity of PM Modi is still intact? On this, Prashant Kishor said absolutely, but you can lose in elections even after being popular. Prashant Kishor said that Hindutva is a big factor, but polarization also has a limit. You cannot polarize any community beyond a certain limit. Had polarization been such a big factor, the BJP would have got only a little 40 per cent votes.