Rajya Sabha polls: Elections are going on for the biennial Rajya Sabha elections to be held on 57 seats of the Upper House in 15 states. So far, 41 candidates of different political parties have won unopposed in 11 states including Andhra Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, Telangana, Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Pambaj states.
However, the sudden entry of two media stalwarts as independent candidates in Haryana and Rajasthan led the ruling BJP, Congress and JD(S) to field additional candidates despite not having numbers, and Shiv Sena and BJP fielding an additional candidate in Maharashtra. The decision of the Lok Sabha has forced elections to be held for the seats of 16 vacant Rajya Sabha MPs in these states. Elections in these four states- Rajasthan, Haryana, Karnataka and Maharashtra will be held on June 10 i.e. today itself.
The alleged allegations of horse-trading of MLAs, plans to shift MLAs to resorts and hectic and tense meetings have made the elections mysterious and dramatic. Now let us tell you an analysis of what is happening in these four states where the number of candidates is more than the seats.
Rajasthan: First of all we will talk about Rajasthan’s Rajasthan has elections on 4 seats of Rajya Sabha but the number of candidates is 5. Each candidate needs the votes of 41 MLAs to win. At the same time, there are only 200 assembly seats in the state. Out of these, Congress has 108 seats and BJP has 71 seats. In such a situation, Congress is seen easily winning on 2 seats and BJP on one seat.
In Rajasthan, Congress has fielded 3 candidates and BJP 2 candidates.
Congress has fielded three candidates which are Randeep Surjewala, Mukul Wasnik and Pramod Tiwari. Whereas if we talk about BJP, it has fielded a candidate on one seat. At the same time, former MLA Ghanshyam Tiwari and the party are supporting independent candidate and media baron Subhash Chandra. Congress needs 15 MLAs votes for its three candidates to win while BJP on the other hand needs 11 more votes for two candidates.
Haryana: On the other hand, we will talk about the number two BJP-ruled state of Haryana, where there are elections for 2 seats in the Rajya Sabha and the number of candidates is 3. In Haryana, all three candidates are standing for the Rajya Sabha. Each candidate needs the votes of 31 MLAs to win. If we talk about the total number of MLAs in Haryana, then the total number of MLAs here is 90 out of which Congress has 31 MLAs while BJP has 40 MLAs.
Ajay Maken sure of victory
The victory of Congress candidate Ajay Maken in Haryana is certain. Whereas BJP has 40 MLAs. The BJP has fielded former transport minister Krishan Lal Panwar, while it is also supporting NewsX owner Kartikeya Sharma. The BJP is hoping for 10 votes from its ally Jannayak Janata Party (JJP) to send Karthikeya Sharma to the Rajya Sabha, besides seven independent MLAs whom the BJP has confidence in. On the other hand, INLD’s Abhay Chautala and Haryana Lokhit Party’s Gopal Kanda have also announced their support to Kartikeya Sharma.
Karnataka: Elections are to be held for the seats of 4 MPs of Rajya Sabha in Karnataka, for which 6 candidates are in the fray. Each candidate needs the votes of 45 MLAs to win. There are total 224 assembly seats in Karnataka. Out of these, Congress has 70 MLAs while BJP has 121 MLAs while Janata Dal S also has 32 MLAs. At present, 2 MP candidates of the ruling BJP are seen winning and one seat of Congress, although the fourth seat is proving to be important, but both Congress and BJP have fielded one additional candidate each. The Congress has fielded former Union Environment Minister Jairam Ramesh and Mansoor Ali Khan. On the other hand, BJP has fielded Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitaraman, actor Jaggesh and Karnataka MLC Lahar Singh Siroya. On the other hand, JDS has fielded businessman D Kupendra Reddy.
Maharashtra: Voting is to be held in 6 Rajya Sabha seats in Maharashtra, while here also the number of candidates is one more than the number of seats i.e. 7 candidates are in the fray. Here an MP needs the votes of 42 MLAs to win. Of the 288 seats in the Maharashtra Assembly, BJP has 106, Shiv Sena 55, Congress 44 and NCP 53 (but its two MLAs, Nawab Malik and Anil Deshmukh are in jail). Independents and smaller parties together have 29 MLAs.
The BJP has fielded three candidates in the state: Union ministers Piyush Goyal, Anil Bonde and Dhananjay Mhadik. Shiv Sena has two candidates- spokesperson Sanjay Raut and Sanjay Pawar. NCP and Congress have fielded one candidate each. NCP has former Union Minister Praful Patel and Congress Imran Pratapgarhi.
Under normal circumstances, this will be the political mathematics of Maharashtra
Under normal circumstances, when we assume that no one will cross vote, then even after electing their official candidate, Congress will be left with only 2 votes and NCP will be left with 9 votes (if Malik and Deshmukh vote). not allowed to give) then. The Congress and the NCP may hand these over to the Shiv Sena, which will have the votes of its own 13 MLAs left after choosing one of its two candidates. Apart from these, there are 4 independent MLAs of Mahavikas Aghadi who are part of the government, their possibility also goes to Shiv Sena. Overall, the surplus votes of the Congress, NCP and Shiv Sena come down to 24 under normal circumstances. However, given the danger of cross-voting, the surplus votes of all the three parties may be very less.