Lok Sabha Election 2024 Exit Poll
Lok Sabha Election 2024 Exit Poll: The NDA (National Democratic Alliance) led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi can reach a three-fourth majority in the Parliament by winning 371 to 401 seats out of the total 543 Lok Sabha seats. According to the estimates of the India TV-CNX exit poll, the BJP alone is expected to get 319 to 338 seats. The exit poll results were broadcast on India TV news channel today. According to the exit poll estimates, the opposition alliance India Block can get 109 to 139 seats, while independents and others can get 28 to 38 seats. This exit poll was conducted at 17,919 randomly selected polling stations in 1,629 assembly seats of 543 Lok Sabha constituencies. A total of 1,79,190 people participated in it. Of these, 92,205 men and 86,985 women expressed their views.
Party-wise seat estimate: (range)
Party | Seats (approximate) |
BJP | :319-338 |
Congress: | 52-64 |
Aam Aadmi Party | 2-4 |
Trinamool Congress | 14-18 |
Samajwadi Party | 10-14 |
JD(U) | 11-13 |
DMK | 15-19 |
TDP | 12-16 |
Shiv Sena (UBT) | 10-12 |
Shiv Sena (Shinde) | 5-7 |
Biju Janata Dal | 4-6 |
YSR Congress | 3-5 |
Other | 50-54 |
Total | 543 seats |
46 percent votes for NDA
Talking about vote share, NDA may get 46 percent and INDIA may get 40 percent votes. Party wise: BJP may get 41 percent, Congress 21 percent and others may get 38 percent votes. According to exit poll estimates, Bharatiya Janata Party is going to clean sweep all 26 seats in Gujarat, almost all seats in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, all five seats in Uttarakhand and Arunachal Pradesh, Goa and Tripura.
BJP can win 62-68 seats in UP
The most spectacular victory is going to be in Uttar Pradesh, where BJP can win 62-68 seats out of the total 80 Lok Sabha seats, while its alliance partners Rashtriya Lok Dal and Apna Dal can win two seats each, while Samajwadi Party can win 10-16 seats, and Congress can win 1-3 seats. BSP will not be able to win even a single seat.
NDA is expected to get 34-36 seats in Bihar
In Bihar, NDA is expected to get 34-36 seats while India Block may get only 4-6 seats. Breakup: BJP 17 seats, RJD 3-5 seats, JD-U 11-13 seats, Congress 2 seats, LJP (R) 3-4 seats, HAM and RLM 1 seat each.
BJP can win 21-23 seats in Rajasthan
In Rajasthan, BJP can win 21-23 seats while Congress can get 2-4 seats, while in Madhya Pradesh, BJP can win 28-29 seats while Congress can win 0-1 seat. In Chhattisgarh, BJP can win 10-11 seats while Congress can win 0-1 seat. In Jharkhand, BJP can win 10-12 seats while ruling JMM can win only 1-3 seats, AJSU can win 1 seat and Congress -0. Overall, NDA can win 11-13 seats in Jharkhand and India Block can win only 1-3 seats.
BJP will get 22-26 seats in West Bengal
If we talk about West Bengal, BJP can win 22-26 seats, while Trinamool Congress can win 14-18 seats, Congress can win 1-2 seats. India Block can perform well in the southern states of Tamil Nadu and Kerala. In Tamil Nadu, DMK can win 16-18 seats, its ally Congress can win 6-8 seats, BJP can win 5-7 seats, AIADMK can win 0-1 seats, and others can get 8-10 seats. In terms of alliance, India Alliance can win 30-34 seats, and NDA can get only 5-8 seats.
India Block to get 17-19 seats in Kerala
In Kerala, India Block may win 17-19 seats and NDA may win 1-3 seats. Congress-led UDF may win 13-15 seats, LDF may win 3-5 seats. Party-wise details: Congress 9-11, CPI-M- 3-5, BJP 1-3, Others – 4. Congress may face defeat in Karnataka and Telangana, the states ruled by it. According to exit poll estimates, in Karnataka, BJP may win 18-22 seats, its ally JD-S may win 1-3 seats, while Congress may win only 4-8 seats. Similarly, in Telangana, BJP may win 8-10 seats, Congress may win only 6-8 seats, BRS may win 0-1 seats, and AIMIM may win only one seat.
Setback to YSR Congress in Andhra
In Andhra Pradesh, the ruling YSR Congress may face a crushing defeat from the Telugu Desam Party. According to exit poll estimates, TDP may win 13-15 seats, YSR Congress may win 3-5 seats, BJP may get 4-6 seats and JSP may win 2 seats. Overall, NDA may win 19-23 seats in Andhra Pradesh. On the other hand, the ruling Aam Aadmi Party may suffer losses in Punjab. Here Congress may win 4-6 seats, BJP may win 2-3 seats, Akali Dal may win 1-3 seats and Aam Aadmi Party is estimated to get only 2-4 seats. In Haryana, BJP may win 6-8 seats and Congress may win 2-4 seats. In Himachal Pradesh, BJP may win 3-4 seats and Congress may win 0-1 seats.
BJP will get 6-7 seats in Delhi
In Odisha, the ruling Biju Janata Dal (BJD) may face a crushing defeat. BJD may get only 4-6 seats, BJP may get 15-17 seats while Congress may have to be content with one seat. In an important state like Maharashtra, BJP may win 18-22 seats, Shiv Sena (UBT) may win 9-13 seats. Congress may get success on 4-6 seats, NCP (Pawar) may win 4-5 seats, Shiv Sena (Shinde) may get 5-7 seats and NCP (Ajit) may win 1-3 seats. In the capital Delhi, BJP may win 6-7 seats, while Congress may win 0-1 seats. On the other hand, AAP is expected to not get even a single seat.
State-wise details of India TV-CNX exit poll estimates
Andhra Pradesh | Total 25 (TDP 13-15, BJP 4-6, YSR Congress 3-5, JSP – 2) |
Arunachal Pradesh | Total 2 (BJP 2) |
Assam | Total 14 (BJP 9-11, Congress 1-2, AIUDF-1, others 1-2) |
Bihar | Total 40 (BJP 17, JD-U 11-13, RJD 3-5, LJP(R) 3-4, HAM-1, RLM-1, Congress-2) |
Chhattisgarh | Total 11 (BJP 10-11, Congress 0-1) |
Goa | Total 2 (BJP-2) |
Gujarat | Total 26 (BJP-26) |
Haryana | Total 10 (BJP 6-8, Congress 2-4) |
Himachal Pradesh | Total 4 (BJP 3-4, Congress 0-1) |
Jharkhand | Total 14 (BJP 10-12, AJSU-1, JMM 1-3, Congress-0) |
Karnataka | Total 28 (BJP 18-22, JD-S 1-3, Congress 4-8) |
Kerala | Total 20 (UDF 13-15, LDF 3-5, NDA 1-3) – Breakup – (Congress -9-11, CPI-M 3-5, BJP 1-3, Others 4) |
Madhya Pradesh | Total 29 (BJP 28-29, Congress 0-1) |
Maharashtra | Total 48 (BJP 18-22, Shiv Sena-UBT 9-13, NCP (Ajit) 1-3, Shiv Sena-Shinde 5-7, NCP-Sharad 4-5, Congress 4-6) |
Manipur | Total 2 (BJP-1, Congress-1) |
Meghalaya | Total 2 (NPP-1, Congress-1) |
mizoram | Total 1 (ZPM 1) |
Nagaland | Total 1 (NDPP 1) |
Odisha | Total 21 (BJP 15-17, BJD 4-6, Congress-1) |
Punjab | Total 13 (BJP 2-3, Congress 4-6, Akali Dal 1-3, AAP 2-4) |
Rajasthan | Total 25 (BJP 21-24, Congress 2-4) |
Sikkim | Total 1 (SKM-1) |
Tamil Nadu | Total 39 (DMK 16-18, AIADMK 0-1, BJP 5-7, Congress 6-8, Others 8-10) |
Telangana | Total 17 (BJP 8-10, Congress 6-8, BRS 0-1, AIMIM-1) |
Tripura | Total 2 (BJP-2) |
Uttar Pradesh | Total 80 (BJP 62-68, NDA allies RLD 0-2, Apna Dal 2, Samajwadi Party 10-16, Congress 1-3, BSP-0) |
Uttarakhand | Total 5 (BJP-5) |
West Bengal | Total 42 (BJP 22-26, Trinamool Congress 14-18, Congress 1-2) |
Andaman Nicobar | Total 1 (BJP-1) |
Chandigarh | Total 1 (BJP-1) |
Dadra Nagar Haveli, Daman and Diu | Total 2 (BJP-2) |
Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh | Total 5 (BJP 2-3, Congress 0-1, National Conference-3) |
Lakshadweep | Total 1 (Congress-1) |
Delhi | Total 7 (BJP 6-7, Congress 0-1) |
Puducherry | Total 1 (BJP 1) |
Total : (543 seats) | (NDA 371-401, India Alliance 109-139, others 28-38) |
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