Lok Sabha elections have reached the fifth phase. Elections have been held on 379 seats out of 543. Voting has taken place on 35 out of 48 seats in Maharashtra. Voting will be held on the remaining 13 seats on May 20. Of the seats where votes will be cast, 6 are with BJP and 7 are with Shiv Sena. However, after the breakup of Shiv Sena, the circumstances are different and there is a battle of its own as to where the vote bank is.
The 5th phase in Maharashtra is also very important from the Lok Sabha point of view because it is the phase that will decide the future of both the factions of Shiv Sena. in legal battle Shiv Sena The symbol and power over the party had gone to Eknath Shinde, but does the public also believe the same? Its decision is going to be taken only from the result of the 5th phase. This belt will decide who is real and fake Shiv Sena.
Elections in MMR region
The seats in the 5th phase are called MMR region. This also includes Mumbai and the adjoining seats of Mumbai, Dindori, Nashik and Dhule. Shiv Sena The core voter is here. For this reason, last time Shiv Sena had won one seat more than BJP in this region. Uddhav Thackeray had used his full strength here. Now after the breakup of Shiv Sena, the situation has changed. People are both sympathetic and angry. Now with whom does this sympathy go and on whom does the anger descend, this will be known only in the counting.
Will Uddhav Thackeray be able to save his legacy?
Will Uddhav Thackeray be able to save his old legacy in this region? Does Uddhav Thackeray have the importance of Bal Thackeray? Will the sympathy that Uddhav is trying to garner be translated into votes? Or the ground hold that Shinde talks about is going to write a new story. Whether Shinde is able to garner public support after the legal battle or not will also be decided by the results of this region. Because Shinde’s son is also contesting from Kalyan seat in this phase. Shinde’s area Thane is also in this region. Let us tell you that Thane is the largest Lok Sabha seat in the country in terms of area. Kapil Patil is contesting elections from Bhiwandi. He is also considered close to Shinde. In such a situation, this is a fight for Shinde’s existence.
Eknath Shinde Three MPs from Mumbai had broken it and taken it with them. Because of this they have hopes from here. On the other hand, Uddhav feels that despite many efforts, BJP could not win this area in the last BMC elections and it was Shiv Sena who became the mayor. In such a situation, he will get the support of this area this time also. The number of minority and Dalit votes is also good here. India Alliance has raised the issue of Constitution. In such a situation, these votes are also expected to be translated towards Uddhav.
Where are the tribals?
Nashik, Bhiwandi and Palghar also come in this region. The number of tribals here is decent. Generally, wherever they are inclined, their weight is heavy. Palghar completely falls in the tribal area. However, the tribals had organized a big movement against the government. But, later BJP tried to manage it through social engineering. Now to what extent this has been managed and where the votes are translated, this will be known only in the counting. There is a good number of Dalits, Muslims and general Marathi people in this area.
North Indian Votebank
North Indian vote bank is also good in this area. Answer: 30 to 35% in the entire MMR region and up to 40% in some places. indian vote bank Is. In such a situation, the vote bank of North Indians will also be decisive in this election. Many equations are telling that the decision to give ticket to Congress leader and former Union Minister Kripashankar Singh from Jaunpur in UP has also been taken keeping these North Indians in mind. However, Raj Thackeray joining BJP may create problems for BJP here. But, still no major reaction has been seen on this.
What will Raj Thackeray do?
Raj Thackeray had recently met Amit Shah and Narendra Modi. With the arrival of Raj Thackeray, BJP can have an impact on the Maratha vote bank. Raj Thackeray has been continuously raising the voice of Marathi identity. However, that is a double-edged sword. BJP will also be afraid that due to his arrival, the votes of North Indians may be lost.
Congress position
There were no bargaining people left from the Congress side in this region. After Ashok Chavan joined BJP, there was no leader of that face left in this region. That’s why Congress did not get many seats. She has not got the South Central seat of Dharavi from where she looked strong. He has got the necessary Bandra seat in North Central, but there his fight is with BJP’s Ujjwal Nikam. The arrival of Muslims and Dalits in favor of Congress has made a difference and if Shiv Sena’s Marathi voters come into it, then its situation can get better.
BJP’s strong side
The strongest side of BJP Narendra Modi Are only. This election is also being fought on his face. Many big leaders of BJP are camping in Mumbai. BL Santosh, Vinod Tawde are continuously engaged. Many Chief Ministers are also holding front there. BJP feels that they should do better in the seats they have. But, if the allies’ seats do not do well then the overall tally will be affected. Therefore, BJP is working hard not only on its own seats but also on the seats of its allies. Modi has his own fan following. There is an impact of Ram temple. PM is also continuously active there. Doing a road show. Sunni and Bohra Muslims also BJP Trying to do it in your favor.
Will the holiday affect voting?
The number of North Indians in this region is decent. This time the elections are being held a little late. In such a situation, there is a fear that North Indians may not have returned home during the summer holidays. This may affect the voting percentage. On the other hand, voting is on Monday. There is always a holiday on Saturday and Sunday. Monday is a holiday due to voting. In such a situation, people should not go out on three days’ leave. This may also impact voting.
Tags: Loksabha Election 2024, Loksabha Elections
FIRST PUBLISHED: May 16, 2024, 17:05 IST