Not only the trench from the tornador raised on the three-language formula for delimitation and national education policy of parliamentary constituencies, the political rumor against the BJP also
Can the strong air rising from the south direction cross the Vindhya? Anyone can deny any possibility in politics. By the way, the South is probably completely in the grip of this tornado. Chief Minister of Tamil Nadu, Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) leader M.K. Stalin has a new political imperfection. He has intensified the campaign to cross the Vindhya against the possible delimitation of parliamentary and state assemblies after 2026 and the Tri-Language formula of the National Education Policy (NEP). On March 7, he has sent several Chief Ministers and former Chief Ministers to form a joint action committee (JAC) in the letter and to hold its first meeting in Chennai on 22 March. He hopes that the south states of Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Karnataka will also join JAC. For this, he is also sending party MPs and leaders to un -states and has talked to the leaders of India Block to raise the issue in the second meeting of the budget session in Parliament. As soon as the meeting started on March 10, there was an uproar on these issues in both houses of Parliament.
In addition to all these states in delimitation, parliamentary seats are expected to decrease in Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, etc. Before that, on March 2, he called an all-party meeting in his state, which included all the small and big parties of the state and agreed to open a common front. The separate Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) was only, which has no significant penetration in Tamil Nadu. The BJP argues that this is an attempt to create an unnecessary rage. During the inauguration of the party office at Coimbattur, Tamil Nadu on 26 February, Union Home Minister Amit Shah said that seats are not going to decrease in the southern states on a pro-rust (proportional) basis in delimitation. But Stalin considers it extremely unclear.
New confrontation: Amit Shah inaugurating party office in Coimbatur
Stalin wrote in the letter, “This is not just a worry of a state, it is an injury to our federal principle. Together we should consider the constitutional, legal and political aspects of this challenge. We should find a shared option to maintain our current representation based on percentage. ”In Stalin’s voice, Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, Siddaramaiah of Karnataka, A.A. Revanth Reddy has got his Aaj. Revanth Reddy said, “The BJP is not able to spread legs in the south, so is taking out separate tools to punish it.” Stalin warned that if the population was delimited on the basis of thick figures of the population, the southern states that decrease the birth rate will be punished and the answer will be rewarded. In the five states of the south, the Chief Minister of four is openly fearing that the weak presence of the South in Parliament means that they will decrease the allocation of central funds and will increase economic non-equality between north-south. He believes that this will change the federal balance of the country and will make it difficult for them to protect their interests in important policy matters. Even BJP’s ally Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister Chandrababu Naidu also indicated that the state may be forced to think fresh on its population policy to maintain influence. He has earlier appealed to the people of his state to have more children like Stalin. If Naidu turns to Chennai on Bulave, political equations can change a lot. However, it seems far -fetched.
Stalin along with delimitation also introduces the National Education Policy (NEP) and the National Eligibility-cum-entry examination (NEET) and introduce the financial and education autonomy against the Center as an attack on the federal structure. He said in an all -party meeting, “The delimitation on the basis of population will reduce eight seats in the state’s Lok Sabha and reduce representation will weaken our voice in policies, which will have to bear a huge deficit in both economic and autonomy.”
In Karnataka, Siddaramaiah of the Congress claims that the central government’s steps are continuously punishing the state, whether it is manipulated in tax revenue distribution, GST (goods and service tax) and inequalities in disaster relief, education policy, or arbitrary reshuffle of UGC (University Grants Commission). He said, “Through delimitation, there is an attempt to weaken the voice of the south in the Parliament and the voice of the Center’s injustice.” Revanth Reddy says that the BJP wants to strengthen its dominance from the last door by increasing seats in the sick states bypassing the south through delimitation. Apart from this, Congress leader Manish Tiwari from Punjab has also raised the demand to allow the delimitation to be held on the 1971 census, so it seems that the Congress will also move this issue forward.
Not only this, the non-BJP leaders of the south also see the women’s reservation law by adding it. They argue that the condition of implementing 33 per cent women reservation in Parliament and Legislative Assembly is also in the intention of playing political games. In this way, not only the delimitation was made necessary, but by linking the debate with the rights of women, an attempt was made to turn to the autonomy and the questions raised on the decrease of parliamentary seats. The BJP has probably expected that this will not easily oppose the opposition and especially the opposition party delimitation of the South, as they may have to deal with allegations of delay in women’s reservation or reduce their women’s vote. But it seems, the stance of political debate is going to the other side.
Amit Shah has also said that Prime Minister Modi has assured the south states that his representation will not be reduced. Tamil Nadu BJP President K.K. Annamalai also pulled Stalin to mislead people by showing “fictional fear”. But Stalin says that “the sword is hanging on the head of the southern states.”
Background of dispute
One reason for Shak-Shaubhe is a seating arrangement of 888 MPs in the new Parliament House. This fears the opposition parties that it is a part of the BJP’s long plan to delimulate and increase seats in its dominated North India. Article 82 of the Constitution gives permission for delimitation of parliamentary seats. Similarly, Article 170 provides for the sharing of seats of assemblies for the states. This process completes the delimitation commission, which has the right to drag the boundaries of constituencies on the basis of population and fix the seats reserved for Scheduled Castes/ Tribes. A judicial review of laws passed by Parliament in relation to delimitation under Article 329 (A) cannot be reviewed.
But Constitution expert PDT According to Acharya, a limit of 550 seats has been fixed in Article 81, ie for 530 states and 20 for union territories. Therefore, for any increase in the total number of seats, Article 81 will need to be reshuffled.
The next delimitation exercise may lead to a significant change in the political representation of the northern and southern states of the country. If the number of Lok Sabha seats remains 543, then 31 seats will increase in four northern states Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan, while the southern states will decrease 26 seats in Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Andhra Pradesh. This change is due to the report of the National Family Health Survey, due to the high population growth of the north and the above 2 fertility rate (TFR), while the maximum fertility rate in the southern states is 1.8. According to an United Nations report, the population in India in 2060 will begin to mold after touching a 1.7 billion peak. Based on this, Stalin is raising the demand to stop delimitation for the next 30 years.
According to the 2019 study by Milan Vaishnav and Jamie Hintson, if the total number of Lok Sabha seats is increased to 848, four northern states will get additional 150 seats while five states of the south will benefit from just 35 seats. In this way, the inconsistent benefit of the answer will further reduce the impact of the South in national decision making. This is the reason for the imbalance dispute, as North India contributes only 24 per cent to the GDP (GDP), while the South contributes 31 per cent. That is why the opposition leaders of the South argue that a change in representation can increase tension in fiscal federalism without taking care of the proportion of economic contribution. His argument is that not only the population, but also economic production, tax contribution and development standards should be considered in representation. For example, the population of Telangana is only 2.8 percent of the country’s population, but its contribution to GDP is 5.2 percent.
Political initiative: Stalin and other leaders in an all -party meeting on 2 March in Chennai
The parties of the delimitation argue that the limit on limitation is a refutation of the principle of fair representation under Article 81, according to which each Lok Sabha MP should have a representative of 5,00,000 to 7,50,000 people. But with constitutional ban on seat changes in 1976, the average population of every constituency has increased significantly. In the north, some MPs now represent about 3 million population while in the south it is less than 20 lakhs. However, the difference in the case of the number of registered voters is said to be only 3 lakhs. The reason is that the northern states have a high population of people below 18 years of age and hence the ratio of voters registered in every constituency is less than their total population. Some argue that the principle of one vote has weakened by imposing a limit on delimitation.
With the delimitation exercise, there will also be a significant change in the allocation of SC/ST reserved seats in Parliament and State Assembly. These seats are allocated in proportion to their population in every state, so states with high SC/ST growth rates, especially in the north, can find more reserved constituencies, while the southern states with low population growth may lose something. According to estimates based on the 2011 census, there may be an increase of two seats and ST-reserved one seat across the country, and at least 18 constituencies may see a change in their reservation situation.
Limit on delimitation
After independence, three major delimitation in the country were done in 1952, 1962 and 1972. The number of Lok Sabha seats also became 500, 521, 543. However, in 1976, the Indira Gandhi -led government prohibited the renovation of seats through the 42nd Constitutional Amendment to promote population control measures. Even then, the main argument was that the states with more population growth (in the north) would get more seats and those who control the population (especially in the south) will suffer losses. To prevent this alleged imbalance, it was decided that the seat -sharing would remain on the basis of the 1971 census. Initially the ban was to remain in force by 2000, but in 2002 the Atal Bihari Vajpayee government extended the 84th constitutional amendment to 2026.
Now that 2026 is approaching, and the next Lok Sabha elections are to be held in 2029, the delimitation exercise has become a vice of new controversy. Although this exercise is to be done only after the next census, which was to be done in 2021, but Kovid was first postponed and later postponed. There is no fragrance yet.
Political and electoral ax
Actually it has also become an issue of politics of BJP and opposition parties. Many experts believe that the BJP is trying to make some compensation to make some seats in the North to 2029 seats in 2024 Lok Sabha elections. On the other hand, opposition parties try to make it a big issue against the Center and the BJP. To intensify the anti -BJP wave in the south and to reduce the anti -government trend against them, Stalin takes it to the fight for rights and Tamil identity beyond delimitation. The Tamil Nadu assembly elections now have less than a year. On his birthday (March 2), he announced, “We have been a pioneer among those who decide the direction of language fight in the country.” He calls the three-language policy an attempt to “impose Hindi” under the National Education Policy (NEP) and call it another aspect related to the encroachment of the Center, which is already depriving Tamil Nadu to its share.
The BJP has undoubtedly given DMK a major issue in Tamil Nadu, which is associated with center-state relations and social justice as well as ‘Dravidian models’. Schlin and other leaders are also trying to call it the Gujarat Model vs. Samaj Kalyan model on the economic front. If this issue also raises Naveen Patnaik in Punjab, Bengal and Odisha, then it is likely to open a big political formula.
“If the BJP is not able to spread his feet in the south, then delimitation is bringing different tools like delimitation, new education policy to punish it”
A. Revanth Reddy, Chief Minister, Telangana
“The delimitation in Parliament is an attempt to weaken the voice of the South and the voice of the Center’s injustice”
Siddaramaiah, Chief Minister, Karnataka
“The state may be forced to think afresh on its population policy to maintain influence”
Chandrababu Naidu, Chief Minister, Andhra Pradesh
“We should not be punished for showing success in family planning.” This should be reconsidered ”
Pinarayi Vijayan, Chief Minister, Kerala
