The Government of India has taken an important initiative and launched the Bharat Forecast System to deal with the extreme weather incidents. It is a numerical global model with a high-resolution (6 km), which will now be able to give an accurate weather forecast to the gram panchayat level of the country. It was formally launched by the Ministry of Earth Sciences on Monday. This system has developed at a time when the country is continuously facing severe weather events. In the early weeks of May 2025, at least 12 people have died due to strong dust storm and electric storms in Delhi and National Capital Region. These include incidents such as house collapse, lightning fall and trees uprooted. Along with this, problems like barrier, waterlogging, and power cuts were also seen. These disasters have exposed the country’s preparations and weakness of infrastructure. In such a situation, modern technology -based models like “India Forecast System” are also a demand for launching time and also a big solution.
India Forecast System: Developed in the country, the most advanced model ever
This system has been developed completely with indigenous technology by the Indian Tropical Meteorological Institute (IITM). The institute is an autonomous body under the Ministry of Earth Sciences. IITM reported that this model was experimentally used since 2022 and during this time it has shown 30% improvement in extreme rainfall prediction. The special thing is that the forecast of rain in the monsoon sector has become more accurate through this model. Apart from this, its predictions have also proved to be better than the direction and intensity of cyclones.
Fast processing, high resolution
IITM director Dr. Suryachandra Rao said that it takes only 3 to 4 hours to run the India Forecast System, while the old systems used to take 12 to 13 hours. This is a big thing to save time, especially in emergency situations. This model works at 6 km resolution in tropical regions and 7-8 km resolution in polar areas. This means that this model can give an accurate weather forecast even for the smallest area, which was not possible earlier.
Useful in defense and disaster relief
According to Dr. Mrityunjay Mahapatra, Director General of the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), this new model will not be limited to common citizens only, but it will also prove to be extremely useful for security forces and disaster management agencies. He said that this system would help in planning especially relief and rescue operations.
India’s Meteorological Tour: 1994 to India Forecast System
India launched the first numeric model in the year 1994. This was followed by Climate and Persistance model in 1999. Since then, India has been primarily dependent on global models developed by other countries. India Forecast System is India’s first such effort in this direction, in which a super-finance global model has been developed in India itself. This is a strong step towards self -sufficiency in India’s science and technology.
What is numerical weather model?
Numerical weather models are computer programs that simulate weather activities with the help of mathematical equations. These models predict weather based on information like temperature, pressure, humidity, wind speed and direction. India Forecast System is based on these principles, but its specialty is its fast processing time and high resolution, allowing it to give a more accurate and timeline forecast.
Accurate information will reach every village
The biggest feature of this system is that it is capable of giving accurate weather information to the gram panchayat level. Its benefit will be given to farmers, village administration, health services, and disaster management forces. When to sow in the fields, when it will rain or when there is a possibility of hailstorm – all these questions will now be answered better than before.
India’s self -sufficient steps in dealing with extreme weather
Due to climate change, unusual and frightening events of the weather are coming out every year in India. In such a situation, the introduction of India Forecast System is not only a scientific achievement, but it is also a defensive shield, which will enable the country to fight the weather in a better way. This initiative is also a solid step towards India becoming the leading power of meteorology. As long as the weather mood remains uncertain, such techniques will continue to make India safe, strong and self -sufficient.
