Bihar News Desk!!! The interesting developments in Bihar politics over the past two days have given the first glimpse of the turmoil to come. If we connect the dots instead of looking at these two in isolation, something amazing emerges. In both the incidents, the main characters are such people who have been understanding the nuances of politics for decades and who do not say anything in an emotional state. The Bhumihar community in Bihar is the core voter of the NDA. In mathematics, caste is less than the numerical strength, but its impact on the politics of the state is much more than the numerical strength. Therefore, targeting the entire Bhumihar community for a member of Nitish Kumar’s cabinet because the Bhumihars of Jehanabad did not vote for the most backward candidate of that Lok Sabha constituency would be short-sightedness in politics. Especially when-
– When losing one seat in Jehanabad did not affect the position of JDU in the central government.
– While the Bhumihar community remained with the NDA in all other Lok Sabha constituencies of Bihar, including the Vaishali Lok Sabha constituency, where RJD fielded a Bhumihar candidate. But Nitish’s minister Ashok Chaudhary went to Jehanabad and angered the Bhumihars. And this is where the question arises that what is their real motive behind ‘targeting the Bhumihars’ in favor of the ‘extremely backward’? For this targeting, a character (Ashok Chaudhary) was chosen who belongs to the Bhumihars.
Now let us come to KC Tyagi’s question.
Undercurrents of harmony and animosity keep arising in alliances according to the demand of time. If the alliance has to be strengthened, then the mismatched currents remain in the background. For example, the opinion of Congress and National Conference is different on the withdrawal of 370, but while forming the alliance, Rahul Gandhi and Farooq Abdullah did not pay attention to that, because the purpose was to form an alliance. You raise conflicting issues only when the existing alliance becomes weak in your eyes. In such a situation, if JDU suddenly takes up its pro-Palestine view on the long-running Israel-Palestine war, then why? One advantage will be that JDU’s graph will increase in the Muslim vote bank.
But what is the purpose of increasing the graph time?
The common thing in both the developments is that both are happening one after the other due to the desire to gain the sympathy of a certain vote bank. The question is whose vote bank is being targeted, this is natural. You will say that these are the vote banks of those who do politics of backward-extremely backward and minority votes in Bihar. The first name in this is RJD and the second is JDU.
The surefire formula for victory in assembly elections
So, is this course correction of JDU not a sign of the party moving towards a specific goal? Is this a precursor to the political upheaval that you will see in Bihar politics in the next few months? The politics of RJD and JDU need minority votes along with backward-extremely backward. The experience of the year 2015 says that if JDU leaves the upper castes like Bhumihar and joins the backward-extremely backward-minority vote bank with RJD, then this is a sure formula for victory in the Bihar assembly elections. So has the chessboard been laid and Ashok Chaudhary’s statement is his first move, how is Tyagi’s second move? Did his removal from the chair send the message that Tyagi has been sacrificed under pressure from the BJP for minority interests.
The upcoming state elections will be decisive
Elections are to be held in two states in the country. Barring a miracle, both Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir are unlikely to go in BJP’s court. If BJP loses even one of the elections to be held in Maharashtra and Jharkhand after a few days, then mobilization on caste census and reservation will become the basis of the next round of politics. Needless to say, BJP is on the backfoot on these issues. Tejashwi Yadav has indicated his election agenda. It is natural that giving free hand to RJD in Bihar on the issue of caste census and reservation will not be the priority of JDU’s politics. BJP is not with them on this issue. In such a situation, what will be the next step of JDU, it is still awaited. If the beneficiary will be the beneficiary, then who will be the beneficiary?
