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Congress-NC have lead, but will BJP’s move turn the tables? Whose government in Mahapol of Jammu and Kashmir

by Sandhya Hirani
October 5, 2024
Congress-NC have lead, but will BJP's move turn the tables? Whose government in Mahapol of Jammu and Kashmir

Jammu-Kashmir Election Exit Poll 2024: In all the exit polls released on Saturday, the alliance of Congress and National Conference (NC) is expected to get the maximum number of seats in the Jammu and Kashmir Assembly elections. 46 seats are needed for majority in the 90-seat assembly. According to Mahapol, the Congress-NC alliance is expected to get 35-45 seats, while the BJP is likely to get between 24-34 seats. At the same time, PDP may get 4-6 seats and other parties may get 12-18 seats.

According to Dainik Bhaskar’s exit poll, BJP is likely to get 20-25 seats while the Congress-NC alliance is likely to get 35-40 seats. PDP is expected to get 4-7 seats and other parties are expected to get 12-16 seats.

People’s Pulse exit poll has predicted that BJP will get 23-27 seats and the Congress-NC alliance may get 46-50 seats. PDP is likely to get 7-11 seats and other parties are likely to get 4-6 seats.

According to India Today-C Voter, BJP may get 27-32 seats, while the Congress-NC alliance is likely to get 40-48 seats. PDP is estimated to get 6-12 seats and other parties 6-11 seats.

According to My Axis India, BJP may get 24-34 seats, while the Congress-AC alliance is likely to get 35-45 seats. PDP is likely to get 4-6 seats and other parties are likely to get 8-23 seats.

Will BJP be able to form government in Jammu and Kashmir?

The challenge for BJP will be whether it will be able to emerge as the largest party and form the government. If BJP wins maximum seats then it may need the support of other parties. But according to exit poll data, the Congress-NC alliance will prove to be an obstacle in the way of BJP forming the government.

What were the issues this time?

The issue of restoring statehood to Jammu and Kashmir has been important in this assembly election. BJP has promised that statehood will be restored, while Congress and NC have also assured restoration of statehood. An interesting twist in this election came when the banned Jamaat-e-Islami supported some candidates and formed a strategic alliance with Engineer Rashid’s Awami Ittehad Party.

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