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Polarization of non-Jat votes, selection of candidates; 5 factors of BJP’s victory in Haryana

by Sandhya Hirani
October 9, 2024
Polarization of non-Jat votes, selection of candidates; 5 factors of BJP's victory in Haryana

Haryana Chunav Result: The results of Haryana elections belied all the predictions of the exit polls. BJP is going to form the government for the third consecutive time by winning 48 seats. BJP had to be satisfied with 40 seats in the last elections. He had to form a coalition to form the government. In all the exit polls, the results were just the opposite of what was predicted for Congress’s landslide victory. Now the reasons for BJP’s victory have started being discussed. PM Modi’s popularity, BJP’s precise strategy, many such aspects are being discussed. Let us know what were the 5 major reasons for this historic victory of BJP.

1. Polarization of non-Jat votes

According to a report by Indian Express, BJP’s strategy in Haryana has been clear since 2014. In that election, the saffron party suddenly reached 47 seats from four. BJP had appointed Punjabi Khatri Manohar Lal Khattar as the Chief Minister. The party focused on securing the OBC vote, which constitutes about 40 percent of the population. In March this year, Naib Singh Saini, who belongs to the OBC community, was made the CM in place of Khattar. Even during the elections, BJP had named Saini as its CM candidate.

In Haryana politics, chief ministers were often from the upper caste Jat community. Their population in Haryana is only 25 percent. BJP secured its victory by wooing 75 percent non-Jat voters. Apart from this, the BJP also courted Scheduled Caste (SC) voters. BJP reached out to Dalit families through women self-help groups in villages. ‘Lakhpati Drone Didi’ helped a lot in this. Prime Minister Narendra Modi also personally invited many of them.

2. Selection of candidates in Haryana

Congress leaders like Bhupendra Hooda pushed for candidates from his camp in his party. At the same time, BJP adopted a different approach. 60 new faces elected to deal with anti-incumbency sentiments. The party also removed former CM Khattar. He was accused of being arrogant. The BJP responded by fielding the more amiable Naib Singh Saini. Congress again gave tickets to 17 candidates, including its state president Udaybhan, who had lost earlier.

3. DBT and development

BJP had started its campaign long ago. The campaign was intensified in the beginning of January itself and Modi’s guarantee van visited the villages. These vans informed people about government schemes. Helped villagers to rectify problems in their Family Identity Cards. The party also stressed its success with Direct Benefit Transfer (DBT). After this, there was a flurry of welfare announcements, which stopped only after the implementation of the election code of conduct.

Development in the GT Road constituencies spanning from Ambala to Delhi was another focal point. A lot of work was done in six districts and 25 seats here. Voters responded with EVMs in exchange for work. The BJP also stressed its efforts to reduce crime.

4. Scattered opposition

Unlike the Lok Sabha elections, Congress and AAP fought separately in this contest. The Indian National Lok Dal had formed an alliance with the Bahujan Samaj Party. JJP had formed an alliance with Azad Samaj Party. The opposition camp was quite scattered. Many independent candidates also contested. Due to this the anti-BJP votes got divided. Its effect was seen on many seats in the results.

5. Election strategy and machinery

BJP gave its full strength. Took more than 150 rallies. Prime Minister Modi and Home Minister Amit Shah addressed many seats. At the same time, Congress held about 70 rallies. The election message of BJP was completely different from the message of Congress. Rahul Gandhi focused on farmers and pitted them against industrialists like Ambani and Adani. His socialist rhetoric probably did not appeal to the business community and upwardly mobile voters.

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