Exit Poll Results 2022: The results of the exit polls of the assembly elections held in five states of the country have come out. While BJP seems to be getting an edge in UP, Manipur and Goa, the power of Punjab seems to be slipping from the hands of Congress. Making a big difference in Punjab, the Aam Aadmi Party has performed brilliantly and seems to be getting a majority. Let us tell you what is the meaning of exit polls conducted in these 5 states and what is their impact on politics.
Uttar Pradesh
To get power on 403 seats here, it is necessary to touch the magic figure of 202 seats. BJP clearly seems to be returning to power in UP. Aaj Tak-Axis has given BJP 288-326 seats, Times Now-Veto 225 seats, Republic Bharat 240 seats and News24-Chanakya 294 seats. That is, in all the surveys, BJP is looking close to the majority. Overall, this is a big achievement for the Yogi Adityanath government, and PM Modi’s election campaign has also contributed significantly in this. For the election campaign, PM Modi had held maximum number of meetings and road shows in this state. The Congress seems to be wiped out, while the Samajwadi Party is emerging as a formidable opposition.
Punjab
In Punjab, the Congress was harmed by internal fighting, and the BJP by the farmers’ movement. In such a situation, this political vacuum was filled by the Aam Aadmi Party and gave an option to the public. All the surveys are saying that Aam Aadmi Party is going to get majority in Punjab having 117 assembly seats. Aaj Tak-Axis has given 76-90 seats to AAP, Times Now-Veto 70 seats, ABP-C Voter 51-61 seats and News24-Chanakya 100 seats. These election results will prove to be a big lesson for both BJP and Congress.
Uttarakhand
Here only ABP-C voter has predicted the formation of Congress government. According to them, Congress can get 32-38 seats in Uttarakhand, while BJP can get 26-32 seats. On the other hand, according to Times Now-Veto, BJP will get 37 seats, Congress 31 seats and AAP and others 1 each in Uttarakhand. Whereas according to Aaj Tak-Axis, BJP can get 36-46 seats, Congress 20-30, BSP 02-04 and others 2-5 seats in Uttarakhand. According to News24-Chanakya, BJP can get 43 seats, Congress can get 24 seats.
Although all the surveys are saying that BJP government is sure to be formed in Uttarakhand, but if BJP comes back to power, then this public opinion will be like a last warning for them. The way the Congress is seeing an edge in this state, it clearly indicates that the people are coming in the mood to change power. If the next 5 years are not satisfactory, it will be difficult for BJP to regain power. At the same time, there is also a possibility that the Congress may get close to the majority, and the sword will hang in front of the government all the time.
Goa
According to ABP-C voters, BJP can get 14-17 seats, Congress 12-16, TMC+ 5-9 and others 0-2. According to Times Now-Veto, Congress is expected to get 16 seats, BJP 14 seats, AAP 4 and others 6 seats in Goa. According to Aaj Tak-Axis, BJP can get 14-16 seats, Congress 15-20, MGP 2-5 and others 0-4 in Goa.
It is clearly visible from the survey that neither Congress is going to get majority in the state nor BJP. In such a situation, the role of independent MLAs in forming the government will increase and the game of defection will start. It is obvious that both the parties will continue to try to break each other’s MLAs to grab power.
Manipur
According to Aaj Tak-Axis, BJP can get 33-43 seats, Congress 4-8, NPP 4-8 and others 6-15 seats in Manipur. On the other hand, according to ABP-C voters, BJP can get 23-27 seats, Congress 12-16, NPP 10-14 and others 3-7 seats. That is, according to the survey, BJP seems to be returning to power once again in Manipur. The Congress is now looking far from the majority and in such a situation, there is a possibility of formation of a permanent government here. This is a more beneficial situation for the public.
Posted By: Shailendra Kumar