Monsoon IMD Update: Monsoon conditions in India are likely to be above normal, with cumulative rainfall estimated to be 106 percent of the long period average of 87 cm. IMD said that this year La Nina condition is likely to be active till August-September for good monsoon in India.
The IMD chief said that data from 1951 to 2023 shows that India recorded above normal monsoon rainfall on nine occasions when El Nino was followed by La Nina.
What did the Meteorological Department say about monsoon?
1. 2024 South-West Monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall is likely to be above normal (> 104% of Long Period Average/LPA) over the entire country. Quantitatively, seasonal rainfall over the entire country is likely to be 106% of LPA with a model error of ± 5%. The long period average (LPA) of seasonal rainfall over the entire country for the period 1971-2020 is 87 cm. . Is.
2. Currently, moderate El Nino conditions prevail over the equatorial Pacific. The latest MMCFS as well as other climate model forecasts indicate that El Nino conditions are likely to weaken further to neutral ENSO conditions during the initial part of the monsoon season and thereafter during the second half of the monsoon season. La Nina conditions are likely to develop.
3. Currently, neutral Indian Ocean Dipole/IOD conditions prevail over the Indian Ocean and the latest climate model forecasts indicate that positive Indian Ocean Dipole/Dipole (IOD) conditions are likely to occur during the latter half of the southwest monsoon season. Is likely to develop during.
4. The extent of snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere during the last three months (January to March 2024) was below normal. Winter and spring snow cover extent in the Northern Hemisphere as well as in Eurasia is generally inversely related to the subsequent Indian summer monsoon rainfall.
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Tags: IMD forecast, Monsoon
FIRST PUBLISHED: April 15, 2024, 15:44 IST