Monsoon forecast: Indications indicate that the country will have a normal monsoon this year; However, the rainfall pattern will not be uniform throughout this four-month season. According to astrological calculations and almanac, there are indications of rainfall for a total of 56 days in this rainy season, with the highest rainfall likely to occur in the month of *Shravan*. Despite the forecast of normal rainfall, there is a possibility of drought like conditions in some areas and extremely heavy rainfall (flooding) in some other areas.
**Sun’s entry into *Ardra Nakshatra* on June 22: What does the position of the planets indicate?**
According to the astrologer, the correct assessment of the monsoon situation is done from the astrological chart (Rashikhandi) which is made every year when the Sun enters *Ardra Nakshatra*.
**Entry Time:** In *Vikrami Samvat* 2083, Sun will enter *Ardra Nakshatra* on June 22, 2026 at 12:25 PM (officially 12:26 PM).
***Lagna* and *Nakshatra*:** At this time there will be influence of *Hasta Nakshatra*, *Variyan Yoga*, Moon being in *Virgo* (Virgo Lagna) and *Virgo Lagna* (Virgo Lagna).
**Positive signs:** Moon – a planet associated with water element – being in the ascendant is good for rain. Mars being behind the Sun from June to September also creates an auspicious situation. Additionally, both Jupiter and Saturn will pass through watery signs, indicating chances of a normal monsoon (95% to 100% of the long term average) for the country.
**Challenges:** The influence of Saturn, the planet of air element, and its aspect on the clouds can hinder the movement of clouds, due to which the distribution of rain in some areas can be uneven (normal rain at some places or rain only in a particular area).
**Rain calculation for four months: How many days will it rain every month?**
According to *Panchang* calculations, there will be a total of 56 days of rain in the next four months. Rain intensity is divided into three levels:
Rain information by month
Ashadh: 13 days
Sawan: 16 days (most rainfall)
Bhadrapada: 15 days
Ashwin: 12 days
Rain intensity classification
Type of rain fixed day
heavy rain 35 days
Moderate rain 13 days
Light rain 8 days
Total rainy days 56 days
Signs of flood in some areas and drought in some: impact of weather across the country
According to astrological calculations, the reverse movement of Saturn (retrograde motion) and fast movement of Jupiter from July 26 will create abnormal rainfall conditions during August and September.
Areas prone to flood (16 July to 15 August)
During this time, the conjunction of Jupiter and Sun may cause heavy and extremely heavy rainfall in many parts of the country. It is more likely to occur in the states of Central India:
Chhattisgarh
Madhya Pradesh
Odisha
Eastern and Southern India (extensive rainfall)
Drought and drought prone areas (22 August to 17 September)
During this time, monsoon activity will reduce as the planets enter ‘dry’ signs. Also, the poor conjunction between Mars and Saturn may lead to heat waves, fire incidents and less rainfall in some areas:
some areas of the north-west
western states
Only scattered rain (very light rain) is likely over the northern states.
What will be the impact on agriculture and economy?
“Since ‘Ardra Pravesh’ (Sun’s entry into Ardra Nakshatra) is happening on Monday, it indicates a time of bountiful harvest. This means there will be good production of wheat and other grains with good rainfall, and no significant increase in market prices.” *Shashidhar-vare smrhar-dishnye, dinkar-veshe sati-hi-subhiksham…*
Relief for farmers:
According to Dr. Anish Vyas, this forecast is an overall relief for the farmers. Heavy rains in the month of Shravan will bring greenery in the desert areas. This will provide adequate moisture to the main Kharif crops:
Bajra, Moong, Moth Bean, Guar and Sesame.
Fear of loss (Chaitra Shukla Pratipada – ‘Jal Stambh’ Revathi 03.63%):
This time the ‘water column’ (indicative of rain) is negligible (03.63%); As a result, some adverse effects may be seen:
Drought and crop damage: Unseasonal rains may adversely affect farming in the middle-eastern regions – such as Bihar, Odisha, Assam, West Bengal and Uttar Pradesh. Crops that require a lot of water (like paddy/rice) may suffer losses.
Ground water level: Ground water level will decline in many areas.
Inflation Signs: Since ‘Ardra’ nakshatra will enter during the afternoon, standing crops may get damaged by unknown diseases. While the influence of ‘Hasta’ Nakshatra will bring abundance of money, grains and clothes, ‘Variyaan Yoga’ indicates that things like fruits, roots, grains, rice and gram may become expensive.