New Delhi: India has achieved great control over population. According to a report by Lancet, India’s fertility rate was about 6.2 in 1950, which has come down to less than 2 in 2021. It is expected to decrease to 1.29 and 1.04 in the years 2050 and 2100 respectively. This has been said in a study published in the research journal ‘Lancet’. These numbers are in line with the global trend, where the total fertility rate (TFR) peaked at 4.8 children per woman in 1950 and declined to 2.2 children per woman in 2021.
These figures are projected to decline to 1.8 and 1.6 in 2050 and 2100, respectively. The study said that 129 million children were born worldwide in 2021. According to the study, a maximum of 9.3 crore children were born in 1950 and a maximum of 14.2 crore children were born in 2016. In India, more than 1.6 crore and 2.2 crore children were born in 1950 and 2021, respectively. This number is expected to decline to 13 million in 2050. Researchers from the ‘Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 Fertility and Forecasting Collaborators’ said that while much of the world is facing challenges related to low fertility rates, many low-income countries will face high fertility issues during the 21st century. Will have to face.
Population growth forecast in poor countries
The researchers said that high fertility rates will result in challenges in these low-income areas, particularly in some countries in western and eastern sub-Saharan Africa. Researchers have estimated that most of the children will be born in some of the poorest regions of the world. He said that from 2021 to 2100, the share of low-income countries in terms of child births in the world will almost double from 18 percent to 35 percent. Additionally, he said, with the impact of climate change, many of these low-income countries with high fertility rates are also likely to face floods, droughts and extreme heat, leading to food and water shortages as well as heat waves. The number of related diseases and deaths will also increase. The researchers said that as populations age around the world, there will be profound impacts on geopolitics, food security, health and the environment. (Language)
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