Bihar Assembly Election 2025: In Bihar’s electoral arena, the political fierce has reached its peak. As soon as the political struggle on Bihar SIR was stopped, the Election Commission has played the bugle of the dates of the state assembly elections. On November 6 and 11, the two phases of voting have been announced at a time when Bihar’s biggest festival ‘Chhath Mahaparva’ will be held recently. After this electoral atmosphere after Diwali and just after Chhath, everyone’s eyes are on which side will sit in the politics of the state.
The politics of Bihar and the festivals here have a deep connection. After Deepawali (October 20) and the four -day Chhath Mahaparva (last week of October), when people are immersed in festivals, they will get a chance to join this Mahaparva of democracy. This mood of Bihar is famous all over the country, as much as people take the festivals here, they also participate in politics and elections as well. But this time, this pattern of voting dates and large -scale SIR has launched a new debate.
Voting after Chhath: NDA has benefited?
If we look at the voting dates carefully, it is no different from the previous election pattern. The voting around Chhath Puja has been an interesting political mathematics. Most of the NDA (NDA) are supporters of migrant voters working in other parts of the country outside Bihar. When these millions of people return to their homes on Chhath festival, this home returning does not just a religious journey, but becomes a big electoral factor.
It is believed that these voters living outside want to see development and change in Bihar too, and for this they like to join the national parties. Since the sixth assembly elections held in October 2005, the vote percentage has increased in Bihar, and the ruling NDA alliance has been directly benefiting. However, this time the SIR has been amended on a large scale voter list, which has to be seen how much the impact will be on the migrant votes.
Political custom changed from 2005 and increased voting
The 2005 assembly elections in Bihar’s electoral history proved to be transformational. Earlier, voting was held in the cold weather of February 2000 and earlier, but voting began in October-November in 2005. This is the time when the migrant Bihari returns home on a large scale.
1. No party got a majority in the election held in February 2005.
2. When elections were held again in October-November this year, the political mood changed. The RJD was reduced from 75 to 54 seats, while the JDU-BJP alliance got huge advantage (JDU 88, BJP 55).
3. This year, the voting percentage was recorded at 45 percent.
Heavy voting tradition and political mathematics
After 2005, this tradition of voting around Chhath continued to lay the foundation for ‘heavy voting’, which was seen working in favor of NDA:
1. 2010: Chhath Puja took place between 9-12 November this year. The vote share rose by about 7 percent to 52 percent. As a result, the NDA won the bumper (JDU 115, BJP 102).
2. 2015: Chhath Puja was between 15-18 November. The vote share again rose 4 percent.
3. 2020: Chhath was celebrated from 18-21 November. The vote share increased to 57 percent. The NDA got 125 seats, and the Grand Alliance had to satisfy 110 seats.
That is, the vote share has increased in every assembly election since 2005, and in most cases the voting of the Chhath festival has been beneficial for the JDU-BJP.
Sir’s shadow: Will the result of this time change?
Now in 2025, once again the same pattern will be voted on 6 and 11 November after Chhath Puja. But this time the case is not only a political shade of Chhath, but SIR (SIR -amendment in voter list) has brought a big change.
Opposition parties, especially Tejashwi Yadav and Rahul Gandhi, have made a big issue of ‘vote theft’ regarding the process of SIR. However, the ruling NDA is considering it as beneficial for itself by connecting it to fair voting. Under this process, Aadhaar was valid after the Supreme Court’s decision and 21 lakh new voters have been added to the list. This time, it will be a matter of eagerness for the whole country to see how both Chhath festival and SIR have an impact on Bihar elections.