After seven phases of voting in Uttar Pradesh on Monday evening, where exit polls have indicated good news for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), despite the better performance of 2017, the SP is looking away from power. Most of the exit polls have claimed that once again the BJP is going to get an absolute majority under the leadership of Yogi Adityanath, while the SP alliance seems to be increasing from 47 seats to about 150 seats. However, BSP and Congress are expected to suffer in this election as well. BSP’s vote share is also predicted to drop significantly.
Since the elephant’s sluggishness in the election campaign, the big question arose that if Mayawati did not appear in the race, would her voters shift elsewhere? And if yes, where will you go? An analysis of the exit polls data shows that most of the voters who gave up on the elephant ride are sitting on cycles. Zee News DesignedBox survey says that this time BJP can get 39 per cent vote share, whereas in 2017 elections also the party got almost the same (39.7 per cent) vote share. At the same time, SP has been estimated to get 34 per cent vote share, while Akhilesh Yadav got only 22.2 per cent votes in the last election. In this context, SP has got 12 per cent more vote share this time, which is a big jump.
Also read: Exit Poll: BJP crosses 250 even in UP’s Mahapol, SP backward and BSP in bad shape
At the same time, where Bahujan Samaj Party got 21.8% votes in 2017, exit polls have predicted only 13 percent votes this time. If the exit polls prove to be correct, the BSP may face a loss of around 8 per cent vote share. The Congress is estimated to get 6 per cent vote share like last time.
From this point of view, three things are clear, firstly, the voters of BJP should remain with the party. Second- SP has succeeded in building the base of the party this time on the basis of alliance partners. So at the same time, the base of BSP is continuously shrinking in UP. Mayawati, who was Chief Minister for four times, may be tensed by this. The BSP’s large vote share has probably shifted towards the SP. At the same time, despite a lot of efforts, Priyanka has not changed the situation of Congress.