Tension is at its peak in Europe. Russia carried out drone attacks in Poland, in response to which NATO started Operation ‘Eastern Centri’. Poland closed its limits. Started military exercise called ‘Iron Gate 2025’. Also, ‘Zapad 2025’ practice of Russia-Bellars is also underway. The deployment of Russian Iskander missiles from Calinignagrad is being threatened for Poland and Baltic countries. Is it all beginning the next war?
How to increase stress?
In September 2025, Russia violated the airspace of Poland. On September 10, 21 Russian drones entered Poland, who wandered or sent deliberately during the attacks on Ukraine. These drones were unarmed, but Poland’s Foreign Minister Radoslav Sikorski said that Poland killed three drones. A house was damaged. In Jawab, NATO launched Operation ‘Eastern Centri’ on 12 September. NATO General Secretary Mark Root said that Russia’s aerial negligence is increasing. France, Germany, Denmark, Britain and Netherlands sent fighter aircraft, air defense systems and soldiers to Poland. Karol Navaroki, head of the President’s Office of Poland, has allowed NATO soldiers to be posted to Poland. This campaign will be to deal with drones and missile threats from Arctic to the Black Sea. Russia described it as a ‘mistake’, but Poland said it was done intentionally. Ukraine has also warned that Putin’s dishonesty is increasing.
Iron Gate 2025 vs Zapad 2025
Amidst stress, Poland has started ‘Iron Gate 2025’ or Iron Defender practice. It will have 40,000 soldiers on the Belarus and Calinignagrad border. It will be with NATO colleagues. Poland closed the Belarus border on 11 September, including trains and cars. Prime Minister Donald Tusk said that this aggressive Russia-Bellarus was due to practice. Russian and Belarus are practicing ‘Zapad 2025’ on 12–16 September. 13 to 40 thousand soldiers will participate in it (Russia claims low, but experts believe that more). The practice is being done near the Poland border in Belarus. The exercise involves the use of drones, electronic wars, nuclear weapons and hypersonic missiles. Rousse says it is defensive, but Poland considers it aggressive. Lithuania and Latvia have also increased the number of soldiers on their borders.
Calling from Calinigrad to Iskander missile threat
Russia’s Calinignagrad is a small area located between Poland and Lithuania. From here, Russia has deployed Iskandar-M ballistic missiles. Their firepower is 500 km. The firepower of some variants is 700 km. During the Zapad 2025, they were deployed towards Poland.
Which areas are in danger?
Lithuania: The whole country including Wilneyus.
Latvia: The whole country including Riga.
Estonia: About one-third.
Poland: Almost the whole country including Warsaw.
Germany and Denmark: Small parts, such as Bornehom Island.
Sweden: Southern part.
Berlin and Stockholm are 100 km away, but long two
Russia’s strength: Despite the Ukraine War, Russia’s army is large. But the restrictions have become weak due to the restrictions. Nuclear missiles in Calinignagrad take advantage of this. Russia’s focus is on hypersonic weapons.
Poland’s strength: A strong member of NATO. The budget became the third largest country in Europe by 2025. He has Abram tank, F-35 jet and Patriot system. But weaker than Russia alone.
NATO’s strength: America (Rank 1), Britain, France and Germany together are three times more powerful than Russia. Poland, Türkiye and Germany are prominent in European NATO. Article 5 of NATO (attack on one is everything) stops Russia. But Russia’s missiles may attack fast.
Will the next war be between Russia and Poland?
No, the possibility is low. This tension seems to be a part of Ukraine war. Russia wants to scare NATO, but NATO is avoiding full war due to more strength. Experts say drones and practice are psychological pressure. The unity of NATO can avoid war. Russia will have to deal with restrictions and Ukraine.
Ri is threatened. Iskandar can carry nuclear weapons, which is a major challenge for NATO. Osint Group Cyberborno has confirmed through the video that two launchers are stationed towards Poland. NATO plans to destroy Calinignagrad, but it is risky.
Comparison of military power according to Global Power Index 2025
According to the Global Firepower (GFP) Index 2025, the military power of countries is measured by more than 60 factors – such as the number of soldiers, weapons, budget, geography. The lower the power index score, the better. The total score of NATO is 3.89.
