What is the message of a happy conversation between US President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Narendra Modi on the recent X? It certainly points to harmony, but not to those old days when the atmosphere was good and the trust was at the peak. The two leaders have taken initial steps towards stabilizing the partnership and have announced to resume business talks.
The path ahead is not easy, but important
After weeks and punitive action from the US for weeks, even if they have managed to bring back the relationship from the verge of breaking up, the path ahead is not easy. Nevertheless, this is important because it is very important. While Trump was having a pleasant conversation with Prime Minister Modi, the news came that he had requested the European Union to impose a tariff of up to 100 percent on India and China. This worrying and distracted news reduced the enthusiasm to some extent. Apparently, everything is not the same as it looks. In this complex world, uncertainty is the only certainty.
The role of Sergio Gore is important
Now all the expectations are on Sergio Gor nominated by Trump for the post of US Ambassador to India. His arrival in Delhi may reduce political stress to some extent. Gore Trump is very close to family, especially his elder son Don Junior and son -in -law Jered Kushner. Indian diplomats view his nomination as ‘importance of Indo-US relations and commitment to strengthen the priority and friendship of friendship’. The role of Gore will be important as he can directly contact the President. But many activists from both sides will be required to improve this spoiled relationship.
Requirement of trade agreement
The next important step after the trump-Modi dialogue will have to finalize the Indo-US Trade Agreement, which has been in talks for months. This agreement is ready in every respect. Commerce Secretary Howard Lootnik and US trade representative Jamison Greer took it to the Oval office at least three times, but Trump refused to pursue it.
It is not clear whether this trade agreement is part of a big geopolitical game being played by Trump against Russia. India has come under the highest tariff category in America by applying 25 percent additional tariffs on purchasing Russian oil. It will have a serious effect on some areas (gems, stone, leather), which can cause loss of livelihood overnight. The flow of foreign investment in India may also be affected. The strict indication of Trump to come back to American companies and manufacture at the domestic level is another possible problem.
Trump’s tariff torture
The severity of tariff punishments imposed on India is directly associated with Trump to force Russia to end the war against Ukraine. In Alaska, the summit with President Vladimir Putin did not get any significant results, so that Trump had to find new ways to increase pressure on Moscow. Pencing a strategic partner to close Putin’s oil revenue source is part of this strategy. But the process of selection of punishment is also suspicious. Despite being the largest buyer of Russian oil, China has so far survived punitive tariffs. This makes it difficult for Delhi to understand logic. It is not clear whether the European countries will participate in the US joint effort to impose more charges on India-China. Earning profits by Indian companies buying Russian oil and selling sophisticated products to Europe and America is becoming a complex issue. It is difficult to explain and it is also difficult to simplify it for political understanding. While India is working under the rules set by the West, no one in the US administration remembers the past.
Dual criteria and lack of trust
As India and America plan and move forward, more questions arise from the answers. An important element that is missing is faith. It has disappeared, and until it is re -installed, it can be difficult for India to forgive and forget all the behaviors with you. As a reliable partner, doubts about America are once again at the forefront of India’s strategic community. “Sudden steps taken have damaged the quality of relationships,” said an observer. American officials involved in creating this partnership are equally disappointed that this partnership formed for 25 years is being intentionally terminated. It is an unnecessary chapter in the history of bilateral relations.
