Trump’s tariff is on the verge of sustaining a rampage and fist in the world, on the verge of entering the old two-polar era, so that the world of Xi Jinping, Putin and Narendra Modi’s meeting in Shanghai, China, like a maritime cycle, again in the old two-pool cycle.
The matter is of years moving towards the middle of the 1970s. Henry Kissinger, a very popular and well-known diplomatic, arrived at Kissinger Beijing of his first atmosphere of the first (or the first of any American head of the US) of US President Nixon. At the end of the tour, he went to meet China’s supreme leader, chairman Mao Tse Tung. The meeting was small. It is said that most of the time kept speaking. Finally, Mao said some idiom by making her hand like bowl. The interpreter said, Mao is saying that we have started eating a bowl of rice now, do not snatch it. Then the American campaign was to break the Soviet axis. But now Xi Jinping is going to reversed, which are almost opposite stream from Mao. Now the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) meeting in Shanghai is going to take a thick streak in the 31 August meeting, which is again leading the world to two powerful axes like old era. From August 27, Trump stained a 50 percent tariff on India and strengthened it. Among these two axes, on the one hand, the US led by the US may be the west or Europe and its broad realm country and the east or eurasia on the other side, which are gathered under the umbrella of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa and other countries with them). Currently, three personalities- Chinese President Xi Jinping, Russian President Vladimir Putin and Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi are becoming a huge magnetic force for this second axis, including Brazilian President Lula Da Silva and South Africa’s Cyril Ramaposa. This has been made possible by the new American rulers Donald Trump, whose self -doubt spills to dance the world at his own behest.
East Chalo: Doval with Putin in Moscow
Actually, this process of changing the round has been going on in the world even before. Before this, that round is half a century or a few years ago, when the world was turning. The Soviet forces had entered Afghanistan and perhaps the walls in the huge fort of a ‘Kremlin Cult’ in the world’s two powerful axes had begun. Of course it would be more than a decade to collapse (in 1987-89). Even behind or remembering it, at the same time, after World War II, these two axes were established. When he reached behind the first world war behind him, two axes had taken the same shape, in the form of friendly countries and axle nations (Germany, Italy, Japa, etc.). So, is the Ukraine War similar, which begins to write the memory of an alleged polar world. The Russian attack on Ukraine began with the initiative of expanding NATO forces in a sense, which led to Russia’s President Vladimir Putin Khowwa. And now the tariff diplomacy of American’s desired character Donald Trump is demolishing its last walls.
Then return to the old era. In that decade of seventy, Kissinger and Nixon also came to India and the then Prime Minister Indira Gandhi’s two-tuke replies was disturbed. Here also the reverse, but differently. The inclination towards America began to grow from the middle of the eighties. It began with economic liberalization and globalization in the nineties, and under the growing Narendra Modi’s rule, the inclination towards America was completely tilted. But wait, in the second round, President Trump increased the demands and then the game overturned.
Two cushion currency
Now the trio of Russia-China-India is again taking shape and like the Samudra Kaal Chakra, the world is returning to the same old two axis, which was at its peak half a century ago. He may start in the Shanghai summit meeting from 31 August to 1 September. If the Shanghai meeting creates a system of exchange between new currency or currencies of countries against dollars like Lula’s initiative in BRICS for international trade, then this new world system can start taking shape. Due to this basic reason, Trump has been describing BRICS as dead. Even before this, in the nineties, US President George W. One of the major reasons for Bush to be upset with Saddam Hussein of Iraq was that Saddam was signing an agreement with Russia in mutual currencies in lieu of dollars and asking the rest of the countries to take a line against the dollar. Eventually Saddam was destroyed and America’s dominance increased in West Asia, especially Arab countries. However, Iran did not come under his rage and many turmoil continued, which continue even today. Even today, the major reason for the raid on Iran is to stop the new axis from forming it.
Similarly, in the case of purchasing oil from Russia on India, the major reason for imposing 25 percent of additional tariffs and threats of secondary sanctions is forced to prevent it from moving to the new axis by forcing them to draw hands from BRICS and Shanghai summit meetings. The Trump administration issued an additional 25 percent tariff notification from 27 August. That is, from now on, Indian exports in America will have a 50 percent tariff. But if the decision in Shanghai is not affected by it, then not only Trump, the attitude of the European Union is also going to be tough. However, China and Russia are also looking for alternative markets and their hopes of bending are low. Lula also appears openly in opposition to America. In fact, due to the reduction of the world trade in dollars, not only America’s economy, but also European countries will also have a huge impact. Their dominance in the world will decrease.
Trump-Putin Dialogue
Countries like Trump or Britain, France, Germany are sensing this danger. For this reason, Trump met Putin on 15 August in Alaska. That conversation has not failed yet, but the possibility of flourishing is less visible. The dialogue ended without the declaration of the ceasefire. The view moved to Washington, where Trump interacted with Ukraine President Volodomir Jailnsky and prominent European leaders, to prepare future progress plans to reach the peace agreement, whose future is uncertain and uncertain. The major reason also shows the attitude of European countries against Russia or in favor of Ukraine. Recently Canada assisted Ukraine to millions of dollars. Putin has also threatened European leaders to insert his nose. Recently, he said, “The countries of America and Europe want to ruin Russia’s economy by pulling the Ukraine war.” Obviously, Putin is more trusting China. China is also the biggest buyer of Russian oil and energy at the moment, but Trump has not yet dared to put punitive tariffs on it.
India’s eastern trend
India bowed more towards Russia and China in view of Tram’s threats. National Security Advisor Ajit Doval met Putin in Moscow. Putin has increased the possibility of coming to India at the end of this year. In contrast, Trump is expected to come to Delhi for a quad meeting. The Quad is an organization of America, Australia, Japan, India to reduce the dominance of China in the Indo-Pacific region and now it seems that India is coming out of that realm. This means that India is going to the court of China and Russia. Foreign Minister S.K. Jaishankar also went to Beijing and when Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi came to India, the two countries showed softening in 2020 after a clash in the Galvan Valley of East Ladakh. Wang Yi said, “There should not have been that clash in Galvan. We should soon move towards a permanent solution on the border dispute, but there should be no shortage in a common role in the business relationship or world system.”
Trump’s anger
America, of course, does not suit these things. Recently, the Trump administration has made Sergei Gor of India as Ambassador of India and has also made a coordinator of South Asia to give him more strength. Former Foreign Secretary Kanwal Sibal wrote on X, “The appointment of Gore means that Trump wants to tighten India further.”
Trump’s Finance Minister Scott Besant has threatened that if the Alaska talks between Trump and Putin fail, India will be fined even more tariffs. They also want the European Union to impose secondary sanctions on India. The European Union has already banned the Indian company Nyara Energy, with Russia’s Rosneft stake. Not only this, Ambani’s Reliance may also be banned for the purchase of cheap oil. It seems beyond comprehension why India is being made a sacrifice of sacrifice for America’s failure to resolve the Ukraine issue. Meaning that India has to stop allowing India from moving towards another axis.
India’s dilemma
However, the Indian economy may have to pay a huge price due to not obeying Trump. Corporate houses are already warning the government of serious consequences. In fact, during this time, the relationship of corporate houses has become more than America and European countries. This is a big dilemma and practical people within the government believe that India will have to stop buying Russian oil. Not only this, India will have to buy more oil and defense equipment from the US to please Trump. But the conditions have reversed after 50 percent tariff.
Jaishankar with Wang Yi of China in Delhi
It is true that America has been a weakness in the Modi government’s foreign policy. There has been a long background of growing proximity with America. In 1998, the US banned it due to India’s Pokaran nuclear tests. But after the 9/11 attacks in 2001, India became the new ally of Washington in a global fight against terrorism. India still remained a friend of Washington when the Atal Bihari Vajpayee government lost in the 2004 elections and was followed by a United Progressive Alliance (UPA) government led by Manmohan Singh. It signed a civil nuclear agreement with the US in 2008.
During Trump’s first term, the Modi government further strengthened the synergy between the US and India. The Biden government then applied a little brake on this harmony. The reason was that in September 2019, he raised the slogan of “Abki Bar, Trump Sarkar” at the ‘Howdy Modi’ program in Houston, Texas. But when Trump returned for the second time this year, he was the agenda of ‘Make America Great Again’ (Maga) and India’s supporters were important for their supporters, especially the market of agriculture and dairy products, but Modi had difficulties in domestic politics when it opened it. So, the matter went wrong.
Shanghai agenda
Well, the trio engaged in Shanghai will have to seek a change in overall strategy besides traditional economic issues. They will also have to create a comprehensive digital economic system, so that the dependence on Western countries in this case declines. Such foreign policy will also have to be made, which emphasizes the economic aspect in its relations with other countries investing. Some strategic reshuffles will also have to be done. For example, Wang Yi went to Pakistan after India and China also gave Pakistan a gift of state -of -the -art submarines. Russia is also providing help to Pakistan. In all these cases, a balanced attitude may have to be adopted by India and in the old attitude, it may not be easy.
Fingering talks: delegation with Russia’s Putin in Alaska and Trump of America
In addition, India’s current world perspective may also need change. For example, it is opposite to the earlier stance of proximity with America. The Indian foreign policy led by Modi has been different in the context of the solidarity shown towards BRICS countries Brazil and South Africa’s Palestine. In this, India’s advocacy may also have to change. The ongoing massacre in Gaza may also have to change. However, despite all these problems and obstacles, if a new axis is prepared in the world, then the new world system and the doors of new conflicts can also be opened. So, everyone’s eyes will now be on Shanghai.
